standupmaths: How to estimate a population using statisticians

How could you estimate population size? Catch random sample of individuals to be "marked" (capture). Catch another random sample and count proportion of the "marked" (recapture). The proportion of the "marked" in the second sample is statistically equivalent to the proportion of the "marked" in whole population.

Given that we have marked S1 individuals during capture phase and have later recaptured M2 of them together with S2M2 unmarked individuals, the total size of population N is given by (1)N=S1S2M2. This formula should give a rather good approximation of N if samples sizes are large and enough and the sampling is truly random.

You can find two exemplary experiments in a video by Matt Parker (one of the most well-known standup mathematicians).