This Place: The Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma and The Evolution of Cooperation

Few months ago I have started an interesting topic about the price formation. This topic is rather important in the contemporary context as it is often claimed (by the media and some lobbyists) that we should "let (the markets) go" (fr. Laissez-faire) with out any regulation or influence from the government. Supposedly free markets would discover the fairest prices and allocate the resources to the most capable. Yet for this to be true, some assumptions must hold. One of these assumptions is the presence of fierce competition and this assumption seems to not hold well as in the repeated games cooperation emerges.

Here we would like to share a 3rd-party material about this. We have already shared some material related to the prisoner's dilemma, but we have not properly discussed how this game is played. The video below, by "This Place", properly introduces this game as well as its iterated version. We invite you to watch the video and contemplate why the cooperation emerges in this setup? How this model could be useful in understanding our society?

Price formation from the game theory perspective

Couple of months ago I have started a series of posts on price formation in the free market or how and why the free market does (not) work.

In the first part of the series we have discussed economic laws of supply and demand. We have learned that the cheaper the product is the more people will be willing to buy it. Also that the more people are willing to pay for the product, the more of the product will be produced.

In the second part we have discussed a simple example in which printing press failed to predict the demand for the book. We have discussed how non-optimal prices emerge as a result of this miscalculation.

In the third part of the series we have discussed the implications of the cobweb model, which attempts to explain how the prices and produced quantity converge to equilibrium. We have noted that this convergence is not immediate and may take some time.

Previously we have mentioned that supply and demand laws should be reformulated as areas. As anything above the supply curve is good for the supplier and anything below the demand curve is good for the customer. What we have not yet talked about is why the curves are where they are.

Price formation: Cobweb model

Couple of months ago I have started a series of posts on price formation in the free market or how and why the free market does (not) work.

In the first part of the series we have discussed economic laws of supply and demand. We have also mentioned the "sweet spot" of the supply-demand model - equilibrium price. But we did not cover how one would discover the equilibrium price.

In the second part we have discussed a simple example in which printing press failed to predict the demand for the book. We have discussed how non-optimal prices as well as certain dynamics might emerge.

In this installment (a third part) of the series, we discuss another classical, but more sophisticated, model, which attempts to explain what happens if the knowledge about supply and demand laws is not perfect. The cobweb model aims to show how the self-organized optimal prices emerge over time. Note that we have already discussed (see this post) how self-organized price emerges from the Kirman model and that this price is far from reflecting underlying economic values.

Physics of Risk content repositories on github

Previously we have recommended people willing to reuse or modify our code to simply view the source code of our interactive html/javascript apps. Over the last few days we have updated our interactive app development workflow and this method will no longer work. When viewing the source code in your favorite browser, you will now see the minified (uglified) code. While the apps should still work as usual, it would be hard to modify them. We have setup a github repository for our development code (see https://github.com/physrisk/model-repository).

While we are at it, we have also setup a github repository for our content (see https://github.com/physrisk/website-source). This repository will store markdown files of our posts and pages.