Articles by Aleksejus Kononovicius

April 23, 2024: Multi-success detrapping process
April 16, 2024: Agent-based modeling tutorial (in English)
April 09, 2024: Heterogeneous detrapping process
April 02, 2024: Veritasium: Why It Was Almost Impossible to Make the Blue LED
March 26, 2024: Our group attends DPG 2024
March 12, 2024: Power-law distribution from superposition of normal distributions
March 05, 2024: Coding Train: Elementary Cellular Automata
February 27, 2024: Power-law distribution from superposition of exponential distributions
February 13, 2024: Power-law gap times in random telegraph noise
February 06, 2024: Mathemaniac: Queuing theory and Poisson process
January 30, 2024: Superposition of Lorentzians with fixed height pulses
January 16, 2024: Obtaining 1/f noise from superposition of Lorentzians
January 09, 2024: Last Theory: Prediction? Who cares?
January 02, 2024: Overview of 2023
December 26, 2023: D. Sumpter: Four ways of thinking
December 19, 2023: Noise generated by a single charge carrier
December 05, 2023: Shot noise in continuous time
November 28, 2023: A. Hajimiri: Shot noise and other noises
November 21, 2023: Shot noise
November 07, 2023: Point process with normal inter-event times
October 17, 2023: PSD of a point process with power-law inter-event times
October 10, 2023: Iain Explains: What is power spectral density?
October 03, 2023: PSD of a point process with non-exponential inter-event times
September 19, 2023: PSD of a Poisson process
September 12, 2023: A. Downey: Long-tailed distributions in the natural and engineered world
September 05, 2023: 401st post!
September 01, 2023: It is September again!
June 13, 2023: Waiting time paradox
June 06, 2023: Numberphile: The Math of Species Conflict
May 30, 2023: Waiting time distribution
May 16, 2023: Poisson process: Interarrival times
May 09, 2023: 3Blue1Brown: But what is the Central Limit Theorem?
May 02, 2023: Poisson process
April 18, 2023: Mistake in the "price war" game analysis
April 11, 2023: ritvikmath: Beta distribution
April 04, 2023: Forest fire model
March 28, 2023: Tifo Football: Game Theory in Football Explained
March 21, 2023: Riddler's Fan Bus problem
March 14, 2023: Agent-based modeling tutorial (in Lithuanian)
March 07, 2023: Order statistics
February 21, 2023: Riddler's football playoff
February 14, 2023: Numberphile: A Hairy Problem
February 07, 2023: Won't be teaching Matlab!
January 24, 2023: Picky-shy model of dating apps
January 10, 2023: Replacement model of dating apps
January 03, 2023: Was 2022 as good as 2021?
December 20, 2022: Dropout model of dating apps
December 13, 2022: Numberphile: Stable Marriage Problem
December 06, 2022: Dynamical model of dating apps
November 22, 2022: Statistical physics of dating apps?
November 19, 2022: FIFA World Cup 2022 predictions
November 15, 2022: Can probabilities be negative?
November 08, 2022: Analytical solution of the boring basketball game
October 25, 2022: Boring basketball game
October 18, 2022: Formant: Two envelope problem
October 11, 2022: Bowling percolation puzzle
September 27, 2022: Birds on a field
September 13, 2022: Birds on a wire
September 06, 2022: Summer 2022 ends
June 14, 2022: IFISC: Complexity in social systems
June 07, 2022: Wireless mouse battery problem
May 31, 2022: b2studios: AI learns insane Monopoly strategies
May 24, 2022: Clifford attractor
May 10, 2022: Exploring parking strategies with nonhomogeneous inflow
May 03, 2022: CGP Grey: The Simple Solution to Traffic
April 26, 2022: Exploring parking strategies
April 19, 2022: Good Vibrations on Runge-Kutta 4th order method
April 12, 2022: Runge-Kutta 4th order method
March 29, 2022: Verhulst correction to Doomsday model
March 22, 2022: Stand-up Maths: How lucky is too lucky?
March 15, 2022: End of the world in 2026?
March 08, 2022: StatQuest: Bootstraping
March 01, 2022: Strategic candidates and median voter theorem
February 22, 2022: eagereyes: The DataSaurus
February 15, 2022: Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
February 01, 2022: Interpolation of Brownian motion (part 2)
January 25, 2022: Z. Griffiths: The Greedy Billionaire paradox
January 18, 2022: Interpolation of Brownian motion
January 04, 2022: Quite productive 2021?
December 28, 2021: Fractional Levy stable motion
December 21, 2021: Numberphile: Chaotic Balls
December 14, 2021: ARFIMA(p, d, q) model
November 30, 2021: Numerical fractional derivative
November 23, 2021: Tom Rocks Maths: Making mathematical art with L-systems
November 16, 2021: Fractional derivatives
November 02, 2021: ARIMA(p, d, q) models
October 26, 2021: Numberphile: Statistics, storks, and babies
October 19, 2021: ARMA(p, q) models
October 05, 2021: PACF and AR(p) models
September 28, 2021: Partial auto-correlation function (explained by ritvikmath)
September 21, 2021: Random walk as AR process
September 14, 2021: Numberphile: Math of being a pig
September 07, 2021: Big review of works by our group
June 15, 2021: Social Complexity: How to model complex systems?
June 08, 2021: "Solving" Monopoly using Linear Algebra and Matlab
May 25, 2021: Partisan voter model on a two dimensional grid
May 11, 2021: Partisan voter model
May 04, 2021: Veritasium: The Infinite Pattern That Never Repeats
April 27, 2021: Stationary distribution of the noisy voter model with supportive interactions
April 13, 2021: Supportive interactions in the noisy voter model preventing recruitment
April 06, 2021: Extra Credits: Teddy Roosevelt the Trustbuster
March 30, 2021: Supportive interactions in the noisy voter model
March 16, 2021: Anomalous diffusion in time transformation of voter model
March 09, 2021: Wisecrack: Billionaires: What went wrong?
March 02, 2021: Anomalous diffusion in non-linear transformation of voter model
February 16, 2021: "Hidden" noisy voter model for the parliamentary presence
February 09, 2021: SciShow: The Link Between Zebra Stripes and Sand Dunes
February 02, 2021: Noisy voter model for the parliamentary presence
January 29, 2021: TLDR News US on How Reddit broke the stock market?
January 19, 2021: Anomalous diffusion of the parliamentary presence data
January 12, 2021: Wisecrack: Predictions: What went wrong?
January 05, 2021: Quite productive 2020
December 29, 2020: Numberphile: Hat Problems
December 22, 2020: Standard deviation of anomalous diffusion
December 08, 2020: Brief introduction into anomalous diffusion
December 01, 2020: Stand-up Maths: Do these scatter plots reveal fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan?
November 24, 2020: COVID-19: Inverting recovery model
November 17, 2020: Stand-up Maths: Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?
November 10, 2020: COVID-19: Recovery model with convolution
November 07, 2020: Ten years ago
October 27, 2020: COVID-19: Weibull recovery model
October 20, 2020: SciShow: The Most Metal Algorithm in Computer Science
October 13, 2020: COVID-19: Estimating mean recovery rate
September 29, 2020: Power-law in exponential growth
September 22, 2020: Two Cents: Is the Stock Market Irrational?
September 15, 2020: Reed-Hughes mechanism
September 08, 2020: Another fine visual simulation of epidemic spread
September 01, 2020: COVID-19 spatial growth
June 23, 2020: Going critical with K. Simler
June 16, 2020: Compartmental voter model and UK census data
June 09, 2020: Seeker: How Chaos Theory Unravels the Mysteries of Nature
June 02, 2020: Total population dynamics in the compartmental voter model
May 19, 2020: Space and time symmetry in the compartmental voter model
May 05, 2020: Compartmental voter model with finite capacity
April 28, 2020: Extra Credits: The 1929 Stock Market Crash
April 21, 2020: Compartmental voter model
April 14, 2020: Khan Academy: Estimating actual COVID-19 cases based on deaths
April 07, 2020: Scatter plots of UK census 2011 data set
March 31, 2020: 3Blue1Brown: Simulating an epidemic
March 24, 2020: Rank-size distribution and UK census 2011 data set
March 19, 2020: It's Okay To Be Smart: What This Chart Actually Means for COVID-19
March 17, 2020: SIR model
March 10, 2020: Kawasaki Ising model
March 03, 2020: R. Axtell: Modeling the Economy with 150 Million Agents
February 25, 2020: Repulsion in controversial debate
February 18, 2020: Numberphile: Darts in higher dimensions
February 11, 2020: Price change statistics in the agent-based cobweb model
February 04, 2020: J. Rogers: How not to fall for Bad Statistics
January 28, 2020: Agent-based cobweb model
January 21, 2020: Wisecrack: How platforms own you
January 14, 2020: Cobweb model and efficient market maker order book model
January 07, 2020: Quite productive 2019
December 31, 2019: A. Ishii trust and suspicion model with combined update rule
December 17, 2019: A. Ishii trust and suspicion model with many agents
December 10, 2019: When education becomes the last priority...
December 03, 2019: A. Ishii trust and suspicion model with three agents
November 26, 2019: Numberphile's videos on babies
November 19, 2019: A. Ishii trust and suspicion model
November 12, 2019: Standupmaths: Recursive PowerPoint Presentations
November 05, 2019: Noisy Deffuant's bounded confidence model
October 29, 2019: Numberphile: What's so special about the Mandelbrot Set?
October 22, 2019: Quartiles of Talent vs Luck model
October 08, 2019: Redistribution in Talent vs Luck model
September 24, 2019: Wealth distribution in Talent vs Luck model
September 17, 2019: The Math PhD Turning Basketball Into a Science
September 10, 2019: Talent vs Luck model
September 03, 2019: Opta Expected Goals
June 25, 2019: Many state herding model and its application to Lithuanian parliamentary elections
June 18, 2019: Ant-based modeling (agent-based city simulation with ants)
June 11, 2019: Variable tolerance in Deffuant's bounded confidence model
June 04, 2019: Numberphile: Randomness is Random
May 28, 2019: Hegselmann-Krause bounded confidence model
May 21, 2019: Football data analysis and modeling showcase
May 14, 2019: Deffuant et al. bounded confidence model
May 07, 2019: S. Schutte on perdicting large scale violence and civil conflicts
April 30, 2019: Mark's differentiation model
April 23, 2019: Above the Noise: Gerrymandering (is Geometry Silencing Your Vote?)
April 16, 2019: q-Voter model with non-conformers
April 09, 2019: Standupmaths: Bayesian statistics with Hannah Fry
April 02, 2019: q-Voter model
March 26, 2019: Hot hand in science and acting
March 19, 2019: Vacillating voter model
March 12, 2019: Hot hand fallacy?
March 05, 2019: ACLS Sznajd model
February 19, 2019: Stauffer's four state Sznajd model
February 12, 2019: J. P. Bouchaud: Econophysics - still fringe after 30 years?
February 05, 2019: "Misread" four state Sznajd model
January 29, 2019: M. Sigman: How can groups make better decisions?
January 22, 2019: Sznajd (United we stand, divided we fall) model
January 15, 2019: A rare example when a single vote would count
January 08, 2019: Quite productive 2018
December 18, 2018: Hierarchical voting model
December 11, 2018: Majority-vote model
December 04, 2018: Extra Credits: The Game of Elections
November 27, 2018: Kicking off a series of posts on the opinion dynamics
November 13, 2018: Order book model with herd behavior
October 30, 2018: Describing high-frequency trader's behavior in the order book
October 23, 2018: standupmaths: How to estimate a population using statisticians
October 16, 2018: Efficient market maker order book model
October 09, 2018: Berkson's paradox
October 02, 2018: Facebook contest data set: Reproducing day-night cycle
September 25, 2018: SciShow: Could Scientists Predict the Next Political Crisis?
September 18, 2018: Facebook contest data set explanation
September 11, 2018: SciShow: How US Airports might revamp security Game Theory
September 04, 2018: Facebook contest data set exploration
June 26, 2018: ncase.me: Wisdom or madness of the crowds
June 19, 2018: Order book model with log-normal depth
June 12, 2018: Y. N. Harari: Why fascism is so tempting - and how your data could power it
June 05, 2018: Granularity order book model
May 29, 2018: SciShow: Why is it so hard to fix traffic?
May 22, 2018: Maslov's order book model
May 15, 2018: 3Blue1Brown: But what is the Fourier Transform?
May 08, 2018: "Noise traders only" order book model by Bak et al.
May 01, 2018: What the order book is?
April 24, 2018: An update and a new tool to compare GDPs of different countries
April 17, 2018: Seeker: You’re Driving Wrong and It’s Causing Traffic Jams
April 10, 2018: Extra Credits: DayZ - Tragedy of the Commons
March 27, 2018: Additional materials on price formation
March 13, 2018: Concluding remarks on price formation
February 27, 2018: Price formation: should we turn to economic nationalism?
February 13, 2018: Phase transition in the "price war" game?
February 06, 2018: This Place: The Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma and The Evolution of Cooperation
January 30, 2018: Price formation from the game theory perspective
January 23, 2018: ~~Four~~ Three updated applets
January 16, 2018: Price formation: Cobweb model
January 13, 2018: Physics of Risk content repositories on github
January 02, 2018: Price formation: printing press example
December 26, 2017: Steve Mould: I predicted the exact time of my daughter's birth using science and data
December 19, 2017: Axelrod's culture dissemination model
December 12, 2017: Non-stationary power-law in a kinetic "rich gets richer" model
December 05, 2017: R. Shiller: "Narrative Economics and Neuroeconomics"
November 27, 2017: One Minute Physics: Simpson's paradox
November 14, 2017: Numberphile: Secrets to measuring a piece of paper
November 07, 2017: Numberphile: The Ideal Auction
November 07, 2017: Hello Pelican!
September 05, 2017: Laws of Supply and Demand
June 13, 2017: Twitch "plays" financial markets
May 30, 2017: Numberphile: Feigenbaum constant
May 16, 2017: Veritasium: The Bayesian Trap
May 02, 2017: Numberphile: The Four Color Map Theorem
April 18, 2017: Why the properties of individual agents may be ignored?
April 04, 2017: AB model
March 21, 2017: Epstein's riot model
March 07, 2017: Granovetter's threshold model
February 21, 2017: Standing ovation model
February 07, 2017: J.-B. Michel: The mathematics of history
January 24, 2017: Checking hypotheses and the problem of p-values
January 10, 2017: Extra Credits: Hyperinflation MMOs
December 27, 2016: Numberphile: The problems with "Secret Santa"
December 13, 2016: Extra Credits: The history of paper money
November 29, 2016: Numberphile: The Seven Bridges of Königsberg
November 15, 2016: TEDed: Control room riddle
November 01, 2016: PBS Idea Channel: But Wait: How DOES The Media Tell You What To Think?
October 18, 2016: SciShow: Colored Noise, and How It Can Help You Focus
October 04, 2016: R. Shiller: Phishing for phools
September 20, 2016: Extra Credits: The Power of Incentives
September 06, 2016: Herd immunity
June 21, 2016: S. Gourley: Mathematics of war
June 07, 2016: DNews: Why Does White Noise Make You Fall Asleep?
May 24, 2016: S. Anholt: Which country does the most good for the world?
May 10, 2016: Extra Credits: Why do people prefer lotteries with worse odds?
April 26, 2016: H. Fry: Mathematics of crime and terrorism
April 12, 2016: Minority game
March 29, 2016: DNews: How Do We Decide What’s Fair?
March 15, 2016: Dynamical correlated spin model
March 01, 2016: S. Wernicke: How to use data to make a hit TV show
February 16, 2016: Spin glass model
February 02, 2016: ncase.me: Parable of the polygons
January 23, 2016: Mokslo sriuba: Why financial crises occur?
January 19, 2016: Voter model
January 05, 2016: LSE debate: "Too much maths, too little history: The problem of economics"
December 22, 2015: Schelling's segregation model
December 14, 2015: Thesis defense of A. Kononovicius
December 08, 2015: DNews: Why all hipsters look the same?
November 24, 2015: One Minute Physics: Every force in nature
November 11, 2015: Seminar at IMI: Nonlinearity in stochastic models of financial markets
November 10, 2015: A. Heuser: The 3 agencies with the power to make or break economies
October 27, 2015: Social experiment tabletop game
October 13, 2015: It's Okay To Be Smart: El Nino and Why We Can't Predict the Weather
September 29, 2015: Sandpile model
September 15, 2015: DNews: Can Game Theory Help A Presidential Candidate Win?
September 01, 2015: N. Perony on complexity theory
June 02, 2015: Ray Dalio: How The Economic Machine Works
May 19, 2015: Extra Credits: South sea bubble
May 05, 2015: Forbes.com: Game of Thrones Economics - Why Doesn't Westeros Have A Central Bank?
April 21, 2015: S. Žižek: Democracy and Capitalism Are Destined to Split Up
April 07, 2015: Nonlinear feedback and long-range memory in GARCH model
March 31, 2015: Long-range memory in nonlinear GARCH model
March 17, 2015: Power-law distribution in linear GARCH model
February 17, 2015: C. Hommes: How Expectations Interact to Create Bubbles
February 03, 2015: An impossible bet
January 20, 2015: R. Wilkinson: How economic inequality harms societies
January 06, 2015: D. Ariely: On our buggy moral code
December 23, 2014: Hotelling law
December 08, 2014: D. Helbing: Next civilization
December 01, 2014: Pirate game
November 17, 2014: D. Cobley: What physics taught me about marketing
November 10, 2014: Chaotic dynamics in the kicked rotator problem
October 27, 2014: T. Piketty on economic inequality
October 20, 2014: Earthquake model
October 06, 2014: Elementary model reproducing q-Gaussian distribution
September 22, 2014: Herfindahl-Hirschman index and entropy
September 15, 2014: N. Hanauer: Beware fellow plutocrats the pitchforks are coming
September 08, 2014: Sierpinski triangle
September 01, 2014: B. Mandelbrot: Fractals and the art of roughness
June 23, 2014: Future of Java applets and How to launch Java applets?
June 09, 2014: Another model of high clustering in scale-free networks
May 26, 2014: Achieving high clustering in scale-free networks
May 12, 2014: Scale-free behavior as a result of "luck and reason"
April 28, 2014: Stop-and-go waves
April 21, 2014: Socio-economical regularities may be explained by the... intricacies of language
April 14, 2014: P. Evans: How data will transform business?
April 07, 2014: Econophysics in Estonia
March 31, 2014: L. Santos: A monkey economy as irrational as ours
March 24, 2014: Computational history is something like playing Civilization
March 17, 2014: J. Krause: Swarm Intelligence
March 10, 2014: Not that good at physics? Your business might be at risk...
March 03, 2014: Many particle interaction in the kinetic exchange models
February 24, 2014: Statistical physics - a key to understanding of the social and economic complexity
February 17, 2014: Two talks on China's political and economical model
February 03, 2014: V. Yakovenko: What Causes Inequality?
January 27, 2014: A. Laskey: How behavioral science can lower your energy bill
January 20, 2014: Analytical treatment of kinetic exchange models
January 06, 2014: "Pinigų karta": Interview with laureate of Nobel prize in economics Robert Shiller
December 30, 2013: A. Kononovicius: Socialism and capitalism in the kinetic exchange models
December 23, 2013: Nick Hanauer on who actually creates jobs
December 16, 2013: Modeling wealth distribution using kinetic exchange models
December 09, 2013: "You are much more predictable than you think..."
November 25, 2013: Elementary kinetic exchange models
November 18, 2013: The illogical world - nontransitive dice
November 13, 2013: Cafe Scientifique "Physics of Risk: the more physics, the less risk" video recording
November 11, 2013: The illogical world - voting paradox
November 04, 2013: Edge redirection network formation models
October 30, 2013: Cafe Scientifique: Physics of Risk
October 28, 2013: Prisoner's dilemma tested on actual prisoners
October 21, 2013: ekonomika.lt: World of finance - too complex to work flawlessly
October 14, 2013: Smithsonian.com: Any Two Pages on the Web Are Connected By 19 Clicks or Less
October 07, 2013: Core-periphery network models
September 30, 2013: A. L. Barabasi about his work and the network theory
September 23, 2013: Cellular network
September 16, 2013: V. Gontis, A. Kononovicius, K. Acus: Baltic countries should continue EU leadership in the sustained economic growth
September 09, 2013: A. Kononovicius, I. Kazakevicius: Impact of the controlled agents on the dynamics of the Kirman model
September 02, 2013: PhD student position on Agent-Based Computational Economics (Italy)
August 26, 2013: Barabasi-Albert model
August 19, 2013: Lets endorse open economic principles!
August 12, 2013: Watts-Strogatz model
August 05, 2013: Open doctoral student positions in Spain
July 29, 2013: Erdos-Renyi model
July 15, 2013: New Coursera course - Competitive Strategy
July 01, 2013: D. Sornette: How we can predict the next financial crisis?
June 17, 2013: J. B. Glattfelder: Who controls the world?
June 10, 2013: What's your attitude to risk?
June 03, 2013: Lots of activities during the summer of 2013
May 13, 2013: Belousov-Zhabotinsky reaction
May 10, 2013: Seminar at VU MIF: Modeling power-law distribution, 1/f noise and financial markets using stochastic differential equations
April 29, 2013: Prisoner's dilemma
April 25, 2013: RCL: Call for applications for Students' Research Practice in Lithuania in summer 2013
April 15, 2013: Randomly generated strange attractors HTML5 applet
April 01, 2013: The Saint Petersburg paradox
March 18, 2013: V. Gontis, A. Kononovicius: The phenomenon of economic growth of Baltic states
March 04, 2013: Power spectral density (part 2)
February 18, 2013: Power spectral density (part 1)
January 28, 2013: Randomly generated strange attractors
January 14, 2013: FuturICT: participatory science and computing for our complex world
December 31, 2012: Teaching math in a different way
December 17, 2012: The importance of open access in science
December 03, 2012: Download rates of our open-access review
November 19, 2012: On the stochastic theory of nonequilibrium steady states
November 06, 2012: Seminar at VU MIF: Agent-based Versus Macroscopic Modeling of Competition and Business Processes in Economics and Finance
November 05, 2012: Hurricane Sandy
October 29, 2012: Quantum mechanics + statistical physics = ?
October 16, 2012: Seminar at VU Faculty of Physics: Brief introduction into the Physics of Risk
October 15, 2012: Agent-based prey-predator model
October 01, 2012: Lotka-Volterra equations
September 17, 2012: Experimental biology on social inequality
September 03, 2012: Fractals in pork!
August 20, 2012: Colors of Noise
July 09, 2012: Special cases of the stochastic differential equation reproducing 1/f noise
July 02, 2012: EURO 2012 starts next week
June 25, 2012: Simple rules and the complexity of collective behavior
June 11, 2012: K. Staliunas on econophysics
May 28, 2012: Numerical methods for the stochastic differential equations
May 14, 2012: Open source in science
April 30, 2012: Music, point processes and 1/f noise
April 08, 2012: Obtaining surface area using Monte Carlo method
March 31, 2012: February and March active time for econophysicists
March 19, 2012: Aleksejus Kononovicius: What can the Bass diffusion model tell us about piracy?
March 05, 2012: Suggested topics for the students' term papers
February 27, 2012: IARIA publication reviewing our different research directions
February 20, 2012: memebase.com: "What is inside my head?"
February 13, 2012: Aleksejus Kononovicius: Fractale - anime on fractals
February 07, 2012: Wolfram's elementary automatons
January 30, 2012: Aleksejus Kononovicius: Impressions from the Interdisciplinarity conference
January 17, 2012: Our recent articles on agent-based reasoning and the burst statistics
January 13, 2012: Lithuanian scientists join the FuturICT project
January 02, 2012: New things on Physics of Risk
November 07, 2011: One year running
November 04, 2011: Slides from the “Science for business and society” conference
October 27, 2011: Multifractality of time series
October 19, 2011: Conference "Science for business and society"
October 10, 2011: Presentations at 39th Lithuanian national physics conference
September 20, 2011: Three group Kirman's agent-based model for financial markets
September 02, 2011: Burst statistics in non-linear stochastic models
July 08, 2011: Agent-based herding model of financial markets
June 30, 2011: Agent-based versus macroscopic modeling of competition and business processes in economics
June 10, 2011: Unidirectional Kirman's model
May 16, 2011: Newton-Raphson method
May 05, 2011: Bornholdt's heterogeneous agent-based spin model for financial markets
December 10, 2010: Long-range memory stochastic model of return
December 09, 2010: Ising model
November 28, 2010: Stochastic ant colony model
November 14, 2010: A Non-Linear Double Stochastic Model of Return in Financial Markets
November 07, 2010: Hello world!
April 11, 2010: Kirman's ant colony model